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2024-12-13 05:51:30

Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities: It is predicted that the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly weakened in 2025. At the 2025 Dongwu Strategy Meeting held on the 10th, Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, said that the leverage ratio of Chinese government departments, especially the central government, is not high, which has sufficient policy space and full confidence in China's economy next year. The driving force of economic growth will come from three aspects. First, the growth rate of consumption will pick up. The "trade-in" policy has boosted consumption this year and is expected to play a greater role next year; Second, real estate has stopped falling and stabilized. Since the introduction of the "package policy" in October, various real estate indicators have shown signs of stopping falling. It is expected that it will continue to stabilize next year, and the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly reduced; Third, the policy of "10 trillion yuan in five years" will stimulate the vitality of local governments, open up the blocking point of fiscal policy transmission, and support China's economy to be stable and far-reaching.Reuters survey: 93 out of 103 economists believe that the Federal Reserve will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%-4.50% on December 18th.Sinosteel Tianyuan: The production and sales of battery-grade manganous oxide increased by 140% in the first 10 months. According to Sinosteel Tianyuan, with the 20,000-ton battery-grade manganous oxide production line officially put into use, the production and sales of battery-grade manganous oxide of Sinosteel Tianyuan increased by 140% from January to October. This also indicates that Sinosteel Tianyuan has made a key breakthrough in the field of new energy battery materials, greatly enhancing the industry's influence and competitiveness.


The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion, exceeding 430 billion compared with yesterday.The opening of Yunnan Guanlei Port passed the national acceptance, and on December 10th, the opening of Yunnan Guanlei Port passed the national acceptance. It marks that the location advantage of the Lancang-Mekong River connecting the six countries will be further highlighted, effectively helping the "Belt and Road" construction to achieve new breakthroughs in Southeast Asia. The national inspection team consists of the General Administration of Customs, the Ministry of Transport, the State Administration of Immigration and the Joint Staff of the Central Military Commission. After on-site inspection, listening to reports, reading materials and centralized review, the inspection team thought that the infrastructure and inspection facilities at the port of Guanlei were perfect, in line with national standards, and had all the conditions for formal opening, and unanimously agreed to pass the inspection and sign the national inspection minutes. Located in Mengla County, Guanlei Port is the first port for Laos, Myanmar, Thailand and other ASEAN countries to enter China via Mekong River, with a designed annual cargo capacity of about 150,000 tons and a designed annual passenger transport capacity of about 100,000 passengers.Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities: It is predicted that the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly weakened in 2025. At the 2025 Dongwu Strategy Meeting held on the 10th, Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, said that the leverage ratio of Chinese government departments, especially the central government, is not high, which has sufficient policy space and full confidence in China's economy next year. The driving force of economic growth will come from three aspects. First, the growth rate of consumption will pick up. The "trade-in" policy has boosted consumption this year and is expected to play a greater role next year; Second, real estate has stopped falling and stabilized. Since the introduction of the "package policy" in October, various real estate indicators have shown signs of stopping falling. It is expected that it will continue to stabilize next year, and the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly reduced; Third, the policy of "10 trillion yuan in five years" will stimulate the vitality of local governments, open up the blocking point of fiscal policy transmission, and support China's economy to be stable and far-reaching.


Fitch: It is expected that the Tax Reduction and Employment Act will be extended in 2017, which may increase tariffs on Canada, restrict immigration and re-promote deregulation. It is expected that the economic growth in the United States and Canada will slow down slightly, inflation will fall, and policy interest rates will continue to be lowered.China Mobile cooperated with Huawei to complete the first commercial deployment of 5G EasyMacro high-precision positioning for subway tunnels in China. On December 10th, according to Huawei's official news in China, in response to the requirements for positioning capability of communication industry in China's 14th Five-Year Plan, China Mobile Design Institute and Shanghai Mobile Company cooperated with Huawei to successfully realize the first commercial deployment of 5G EasyMacro (EM) high-precision positioning solution in Shanghai subway tunnel. As an important network capability in vertical industry, the successful deployment of 5G high-precision positioning in subway tunnel scene marks a major breakthrough in 5G private network positioning technology.Per capita 10 seconds More than 40% of the passengers at Shenzhen Bay Port "brush their faces to clear customs", and this month (December 1), Shenzhen residents' "one sign and multiple lines" in Hong Kong was officially launched. In other words, Shenzhen registered residents and residence permit holders can apply for a "one-sign, multi-line" endorsement for traveling to Hong Kong, and they can travel to and from Hong Kong unlimited times within one year, and stay in Hong Kong for no more than 7 days at a time. Recently, Shenzhen Bay Port has also opened a "brush face clearance" measure. According to the statistics of Shenzhen Border Inspection Station, as of December 9, the number of people who used the "no-show-documents" channel for customs clearance exceeded 630,000, and the number of people who "brushed their faces for customs clearance" accounted for about 43% of the number of people who passed through the express channel in a single day.

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